The Crown Oaks Odds for $1 million is a prized race for 3 year old fillies and there is fierce competition this week as the 2009 Crown Oaks betting odds already show. Winner of the Thousand Guineas and the Group 2 Longines Wakeful Stakes over 2,000 metres, I think this week’s extra distance could trouble Faint Perfume despite the $1.95 odds she has. The bookies get scared when a horse wins so triumphantly and really how often does a horse win these big big races twice in a row? It’s simple probability. Flip a coin and you’ll see what I mean. My money is on Valdemoro at $8.00 – representing a much smarter bet.

